BIG MARLEY’S UFC ON ESPN+ 12 DRAFKINGS FANTASY BREAKDOWN

This weekend, we have an 11-fight card at Greenville, South Carolina. DraftKings has some decent contests for us to win a great deal of money from this week. The main GPP is a $15 buy and $25k goes to 1st place with a total of $120k being paid out. In addition they possess a Qualifier only competition for $175,000. There will be 100 qualifiers for that contest and they’ll compete for a $50k first place cost and that $175k will probably be spread out between all 100 admissions that qualify. I will attempt to get my 3rd seat this week to maximum it if I can. Those Qualifier only competitions can be actual bankroll suckers, so be cautious chasing those too hard. I’ll probably stick to the very best GPP this week and throw a handful of entries at the $30k decoration, and then I will likely take a couple shots in the Q. I will also be publishing H2Hs in addition to picking up H2Hs throughout the week to get a fantastic quantity of play into money games.
With that said, let’s get to a couple plays I enjoy this week Together with my fade of this week:
Cash Game play of the week — Main Event STACK — Renato Moicano and Chan Sung Jung
For me, this is an easy pile in money week. I think we easily have a floor of 100 with Renato Moicano and The Korean Zombie with upside of ~150. Additionally, it guarantees us the winner. As I have mentioned several times previously, we don’t want 6 wins in money games, therefore play with those type of games all you have to do is conquer half the area. Normally 4 wins or 400+ points is great enough to cash in most cash games. Even if you have a solid lean with this fight I still recommend stacking.
GPP drama of this week — Jairzinho Rozenstruik — $9,000
Rozenstruik gets the greatest ITD line on the card at -140 and he could hit 100+ DK points by getting that in round 1. The worry here would be him on his back in around 1 and then scoring zero points during that and then going out and obtaining a KO in round 2. Or no KO at all. Both of those would take him off the optimal lineup so we want this fight to keep standing and ideally an early KO. I believe that’s very possible and he will be a core GPP drama of mine . He isn’t the greatest money game play however because he could be put on his back and be stuck there and possibly even lose the fight like that. I am OK with him in cash, but I will not be making a priority like I’m being obese in GPPs.
Underdog play of this week — Anderson Dos Santos — $7,900
This gambling line is all about pickem’ with a small lean towards Dos Santos. But, Ewell is your favorite on DraftKings and is $400 greater than ADS. Ewell is likewise the striker so that he to score highly he is going to need a finish. His weakness is Anderson Dos Santos’ strength however. Ewell has a hard time staying off his back and if ADS can put him there he could submit him. He could rack up multiple takedowns to get a high decision rating. I like the value we’re getting on him $7.9k and that I like he should be looking to grapple in this particular fight. That’s why I had to pick him as my puppy of this week.
Fade of the week — Syuri Kondo $8,000
There are no real easy fades this week. I really do have a complete fade on Kondo however because she looks to be only a striker and I think Ashely Yoder’s best path to success is by way of grappling. If Kondo isn’t in a striking match for 15-minutes I don’t see the way she scores tremendously unless she gets a finish. I really don’t think she’s KO power, so I think it is purely the substantial strikes and the triumph bonus which we would be relying here. I’d rather take a fighter with a opportunity to complete or who’s more inclined to grapple. That is why Kondo is my fade of this week.
Thanks for reading this and decent luck this weekend! If you would like my full-card breakdown at which I breakdown every fight about the card and give my complete DraftKings evaluation, as well as all my pick predictions, you’ll find that for only $7.99 at this link below:
(Premium stakes are available at that link as well. I’m 81-51 to get +251.89u (+$25,189) because May 19th, 2018 on Premium Plays)

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